Dear Customers and Partners,
We are pleased to share our weekly market intelligence update covering ocean freight conditions in the Gulf of America (formerly Gulf of Mexico), the Caribbean Basin, and the regional trade lanes most relevant to your operations. This edition expands our break-bulk coverage across U.S. and Mexican origins and includes a focused note on the Venezuela corridor.
Compare with previous editions: Issue 04 — July 10 · Issue 03 — July 3 · Issue 02 — June 26
1 Global Ocean Freight Snapshot
The turn we flagged last week is starting to show. Rates ticked higher again on mid-month increases — transpacific is now up roughly $4,000/FEU since May — but underneath, the early peak season is beginning to unwind. Approximate levels below, per published Freightos market commentary (week of July 14, 2026):
| Trade Lane | Current Rate | Weekly Change | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asia → US West Coast | ~$7,500/FEU | +13% | ↑ Rising, but topping |
| Asia → US East Coast | ~$9,000/FEU | +6% | ↑ Slowing |
| Asia → N. Europe | ~$5,800/FEU | +8% | ↑ Rising |
| Asia → Mediterranean | ~$7,050/FEU | +1% | → Flattening |
Macro drivers. Two forces are now pulling in opposite directions. On the softening side: space is beginning to open at major hubs, some carriers are quietly discounting despite planned mid-month hikes, and the U.S. NRF projects August import volumes down ~10% month-on-month and September down another ~10% — classic signs of an early peak unwinding (even as July itself sets a record ~2.47M TEU of arrivals). On the firming side: the Strait of Hormuz has closed again, pushing oil up ~10% and bunkers up ~5%, and a proposed 20% transit fee adds uncertainty — so fuel is now a source of upward pressure. Net read: peak demand is still the dominant force this week, but the momentum has clearly shifted. For our region, this is when Gulf of America and Caribbean feeder space should start to loosen — though rising fuel may offset part of any rate relief. If you have August–September cargo, the negotiating position is improving.
2 Gulf of America & Caribbean Basin — FCL Container Rates
Firm-to-tightening conditions as we move deeper into summer peak. Port Everglades (Fort Lauderdale) — the #1 US port for Caribbean trade, processing 1.16M+ TEUs in FY2025 — remains the primary gateway. Kingston (KCT), the region's main transshipment hub, continues to normalize after the 2024–25 congestion.
Indicative FCL ocean freight — South Florida to Caribbean (week of July 17, 2026):
| Destination | Main Port | 20ft (TEU) | 40ft (FEU) | Transit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahamas | Nassau / Freeport | $1,050–1,900 | $1,700–2,800 | 2–4 days |
| Dominican Republic | Rio Haina | $1,400–2,350 | $2,000–3,450 | 4–6 days |
| Haiti | Port-au-Prince | $1,600–2,550 | $2,250–3,650 | 4–7 days |
| Jamaica | Kingston | $1,600–2,600 | $2,350–3,900 | 5–8 days |
| Trinidad & Tobago | Port of Spain | $2,100–3,400 | $2,950–4,700 | 9–14 days |
| Colombia | Cartagena / B'quilla | $1,850–2,900 | $2,500–4,150 | 7–12 days |
| Panama | Colón / Balboa | $1,550–2,450 | $2,200–3,450 | 5–8 days |
Indicative port-to-port ocean freight only. BAF, THC, documentation and surcharges additional.
3 Break-Bulk & LCL Rates by Origin
Break-bulk and LCL cargo is quoted per Revenue Ton (RT) on a W/M basis — the higher of 1 metric ton (1,000 kg) or 1 cubic meter (CBM). Rates below are indicative ranges for general break-bulk and LCL; project, heavy-lift and out-of-gauge cargo are quoted separately. Venezuela attracts the region's highest risk premium.
| Destination | Per Revenue Ton (RT) | Transit | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela (Pto Cabello / La Guaira) | $135–210 | 10–16 days | Incl. risk surcharge · OFAC clearance required |
| Dominican Republic (Rio Haina) | $70–130 | 6–9 days | — |
| Colombia (Cartagena / B'quilla) | $85–150 | 7–11 days | — |
| Panama (Colón) | $80–140 | 6–9 days | — |
| Destination | Per Revenue Ton (RT) | Transit | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela (Pto Cabello / La Guaira) | $130–200 | 8–14 days | Incl. risk surcharge · OFAC clearance required |
| Dominican Republic (Rio Haina) | $55–110 | 4–7 days | Shortest Caribbean transit |
| Colombia (Cartagena / B'quilla) | $80–140 | 7–12 days | — |
| Panama (Colón) | $75–135 | 5–8 days | — |
| Destination | Per Revenue Ton (RT) | Transit | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela (Pto Cabello / La Guaira) | $150–230 | 12–18 days | Incl. risk surcharge · OFAC clearance required |
| Dominican Republic (Rio Haina) | $80–145 | 6–9 days | — |
| Colombia (Cartagena / B'quilla) | $95–165 | 9–13 days | — |
| Panama (Colón) | $90–155 | 8–11 days | — |
| Destination | Per Revenue Ton (RT) | Transit | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela (Pto Cabello / La Guaira) | $120–195 | 9–15 days | Incl. risk surcharge · OFAC clearance required |
| Dominican Republic (Rio Haina) | $75–135 | 6–9 days | — |
| Colombia (Cartagena / B'quilla) | $85–150 | 7–11 days | — |
| Panama (Colón) | $80–145 | 6–10 days | — |
| Destination | Per Revenue Ton (RT) | Transit | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela (Pto Cabello / La Guaira) | $125–200 | 9–15 days | Incl. risk surcharge · OFAC clearance required |
| Dominican Republic (Rio Haina) | $78–138 | 6–9 days | — |
| Colombia (Cartagena / B'quilla) | $88–152 | 7–11 days | — |
| Panama (Colón) | $82–148 | 6–10 days | — |
Indicative break-bulk / LCL ranges per revenue ton (W/M). Actual rates depend on commodity, volume, stowage, packaging and port conditions. Project and heavy-lift cargo quoted separately. Contact us for a firm quotation.
4 Route Focus: Venezuela — Puerto Cabello & La Guaira
Our specialty lane. Puerto Cabello (Carabobo) and La Guaira (serving Caracas) are Venezuela's two principal commercial ports, handling containers, break-bulk and project cargo. Indicative container freight from the U.S. Gulf (June 2026):
| Service | Estimated Rate | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 20ft Container (TEU) | $2,300–3,700 | Peak premium + Venezuela risk surcharge |
| 40ft Container (FEU) | $3,300–5,300 | Subject to OFAC clearance before booking |
| Break-Bulk / LCL (per RT) | $130–210 | Reflects sanctions environment, limited carriers |
| Transit Time | 10–18 days | Often via transshipment (Curaçao / Kingston) |
Commercial shipping from the U.S. to Venezuela is subject to active U.S. Treasury OFAC sanctions. While cargo is not categorically prohibited, it requires strict compliance: (1) full SDN screening of all parties; (2) no shipments to government-owned or controlled entities without a specific OFAC license; (3) restricted USD payment channels; and (4) complete booking details at time of request — no blind bookings. All Venezuela cargo is subject to independent OFAC compliance review and carrier pre-approval before any booking is confirmed. Stella Line strongly recommends that customers obtain independent legal and sanctions-compliance counsel before proceeding, and does not itself provide legal or sanctions-compliance advice.
5 Outlook & Commercial Recommendations
Book early — peak-season pressure is real. Capacity is tight and rates are rising on multiple lanes. Secure July/August space and rates as early as possible; waiting for spot rates to drop is a high-risk strategy now.
Lock in rates where possible. For recurring Caribbean cargo, consider a short-term (30–90 day) contract rate. Spot rates are volatile and likely to keep rising through Q3 2026.
Budget conservatively for fuel. A gradual Strait of Hormuz reopening may ease bunker costs eventually, but not soon — do not assume surcharges drop in Q3.
Venezuela — prepare compliance first. OFAC screening and carrier pre-approval must be complete before any booking. Allow 3–5 business days lead time for compliance processing; do not commit to customers before confirming carrier acceptance.
Project & break-bulk windows. For oversized or heavy-lift cargo, June–early July may still offer reasonable rates on smaller-vessel feeder trades before peak fully materializes. Contact us to discuss vessel options.
Stella Line remains available to assist with cargo brokerage, vessel chartering, freight quotations and market consulting for the Gulf of America, Caribbean, Mexico, Central America and northern South America trades.
Warm regards,
Stella Line LLC — Commercial & Market Intelligence Desk
contact@stella-line.com
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